Asger Risom
With 133 voting cardinals under the age of 80, attention focuses on influential figures from every continent
The conclave to elect the next leader of the Roman Catholic Church will begin Wednesday, gathering 133 eligible cardinals under the age of 80. As reported by Digi24, this closed-door election follows the death of Pope Francis and is expected to yield one of the most consequential papal choices in modern history.
While predictions remain highly speculative, several prominent cardinals are already in the spotlight due to their leadership, theology, or diplomatic reach. Many of them reflect the global diversity of the Church and the internal tensions between progressivism and tradition.
Front-Runners from Europe and Beyond
Among the most mentioned names is Italy’s Pietro Parolin, Vatican Secretary of State and a seasoned diplomat, considered a centrist voice within the Curia. Also from Italy, Patriarch Pierbattista Pizzaballa of Jerusalem has risen in prominence due to his calls for peace during the Israel–Hamas conflict.
From France, Cardinal Jean-Marc Aveline of Marseille and Sweden’s Anders Arborelius are both known for their openness to interfaith dialogue and migrant advocacy—pillars of Francis’ papacy. On the conservative end, Hungary’s Peter Erdo and Guinea’s Robert Sarah are noted for their doctrinal rigidity and support among traditionalists.
In Asia, Filipino Cardinal Luis Antonio Tagle—nicknamed the “Asian Francis”—is a familiar contender with a reputation for humility and social outreach. Myanmar’s Charles Maung Bo has been lauded for defending minority rights amid military turmoil.
Africa presents strong candidates as well. Ghana’s Peter Turkson has long been seen as papabile, while Congo’s Fridolin Ambongo combines progressive views with broad African Church backing. Conversely, Robert Sarah remains a voice for ultraconservatives worldwide.
American Voices and Vatican Influence
From the United States, Chicago-born Robert Francis Prevost heads the Vatican’s Dicastery for Bishops, granting him significant influence over global episcopal appointments. New York Archbishop Timothy Dolan is also in the running, popular in conservative circles and known for his charisma and media presence.
As the conclave convenes, no clear favorite has emerged. However, the selection process—often unpredictable—will shape the global Catholic Church’s direction for years to come.