According to the Intelligence Servce, the objective is to provoke an armed confrontation between NATO and Russia.
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The alleged objective is to provoke an armed conflict between Russia and NATO.
What is happening?

Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) has accused Ukraine of conspiring with Poland to stage a false-flag operation, claiming saboteurs disguised as Russian and Belarusian special forces are set to carry out attacks on Polish soil.
According to the SVR, this alleged plan is intended to provoke NATO into a direct military confrontation with Moscow.
Alleged scheme involves fake special forces units

The SVR claims the plot involves “sabotage and reconnaissance groups” composed of fighters from the Russian Freedom Legion and the Belarusian Kalinovsky Regiment—units currently fighting on Ukraine’s side.
These forces, the agency alleges, would pose as enemy operatives conducting attacks on critical infrastructure in Poland.
Drawing NATO into conflict with Russia

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According to SVR’s press release, the broader goal of this alleged operation is to incite public protests and push NATO countries toward a military response against Russia.
The SVR claims Ukraine is trying to manipulate European sentiment and drag NATO into open conflict.
Poland’s role under scrutiny by Russia

Moscow asserts that Poland’s intelligence services are complicit in the scheme.
The supposed plan involves Polish security forces intercepting the fake saboteurs and then showcasing them to the media as evidence of Russian and Belarusian aggression.
Moscow warns of “big war” triggered by Kyiv

In one of its most alarming claims, the SVR stated that the Ukrainian government is willing to provoke a large-scale war using European countries as a “shield.”
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It framed Kyiv’s alleged strategy as desperate, with the Zelensky administration prepared to use any means necessary to turn the tide of the conflict.
Previous accusations linked to Moldova

This latest claim follows another unverified SVR allegation from the previous week, accusing NATO of preparing to invade Moldova via Romanian territory after its recent elections.
Moldova dismissed the information as part of Russia’s ongoing campaign of disinformation.
Also links Ukraine to drone incidents

The SVR doubled down, suggesting Ukraine was also behind recent drone incidents in Poland and Romania.
These drone flights, Moscow claims, serve the same purpose: to stoke panic and encourage NATO retaliation against Russia.
European airspace violations fuel tensions

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In recent months, several NATO countries—including Romania, Poland, and Estonia—have reported violations of their airspace by Russian drones or jets.
These incidents have led to heightened security alerts and growing unease along NATO’s eastern border.
NATO responds with Operation Eastern Sentry

Following these provocations, NATO launched Operation Eastern Sentry, aimed at strengthening defenses on its eastern flank.
Although Moscow denies any deliberate airspace violations, the alliance has remained cautious and on high alert.
NATO allies invoke Article 4

In response to repeated security threats, Poland and Estonia have invoked Article 4 of the NATO Charter.
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This provision calls for consultations among member states when any ally perceives a threat to its territorial integrity or political independence.
Russian history of false flag operations

In the beginning of the war in Ukraine, Russia was accussed of plotting multiple false flag-operations themselves.
In 2023, the Institute for the Study of War, released a report warning about Moscow setting up false flag-operations in Belarus and the Moldovian seccessionist republic of Transnistria, in an attempt to justify formal entry in the war on the side of Russia.
This article is made and published by Jens Asbjørn Bogen, which may have used AI in the preparation