August M
Europe’s delay puts Ukraine at risk
Europe’s delay puts Ukraine at risk
“Kiev won’t hold out until spring”: A stark warning for Ukraine
As winter approaches, Ukraine faces one of its most perilous moments since the start of the full-scale war. According to an analysis published by The Times and cited by Ziare.com, a critical shortage of military and financial support from Europe could soon leave Kyiv unable to sustain its defense.
Without urgent aid decisions from the European Union, Ukraine’s ability to hold the front may collapse by early next year.
Economic and political fatigue in the West
The Times correspondent Roger Boyes argues that the West’s will to support Ukraine is weakening, even as public rhetoric remains strong. Ukraine’s defense costs are soaring — the country’s budget includes a $70 billion defense allocation, while revenues stand at just $76 billion.
Without rapid European intervention, Kyiv may lack the funds to stay armed, warm, and operational through the winter.
Zelensky’s “last battle” could be the hardest yet
Boyes acknowledges Ukraine’s resilience but warns that the strain of war is reaching a breaking point. He believes that Zelensky’s political future — and Ukraine’s sovereignty — may rest on what happens this winter, reports Ziare.com.
Russia steps up while Europe hesitates
According to Ziare.com, Russia is preparing for a major winter-spring offensive, planning to mobilize up to 350,000 new troops.
Boyes suggests that Moscow will test Ukraine’s depleted front lines in the east before pushing toward central Ukraine. The timing is strategic: Russia is betting that Kyiv’s financial and military reserves will soon be too low to resist, notes Ziare.com.
Frozen Russian assets: help or legal nightmare?
The EU has proposed using frozen Russian assets to fund Ukraine’s defense — a sum of up to €150 billion. But Boyes warns that the full transfer may face legal challenges, especially from Russia, which rejects any responsibility for the war’s destruction.
Even the idea of using interest from the assets has raised objections in Belgium, where the assets are managed by Euroclear, reports Ziare.com.
Political deadlock stalls meaningful EU action
A major hurdle remains: EU political unity. Some member states have rejected plans to collectively guarantee risks associated with the reparations fund.
As Boyes writes, the core dilemma is this: “How could European taxpayers shoulder the burden of Russian reparations, which will probably never be paid?” Without consensus, aid delays could prove catastrophic for Ukraine, notes Ziare.com.
Winter as a weapon — again
Boyes predicts that Russia will once again use winter warfare tactics — targeting energy infrastructure, transport networks, and civilian homes with drone strikes to break morale, reports Ziare.com.
Europe’s hesitation could define the outcome
As Roger Boyes concludes in The Times, Ukraine may only have enough funding to survive until the end of 2026, if current trends continue. But the more urgent danger is the next few months.
Without unified European action and a surge of financial and military support, Kyiv risks being overwhelmed — not by battlefield defeat, but by resource exhaustion. The war’s outcome may hinge as much on politics in Brussels as on troops at the front.
This article is made and published by August M, who may have used AI in the preparation
