Camilla Jessen
Ukrainian services warn of Kremlin’s long-term strategy.
A document obtained by Ukrainian intelligence suggests the Kremlin is formally locking in a strategy of long-term confrontation with Western countries.
According to Kyiv, the policy leaves little room for compromise and signals Russia’s intention to reshape the global order in its favor.
The assessment was published by the Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine (FISU), which says the document has now been approved at the highest levels of Russian power.
Codified foreign policy
FISU says Russia’s Security Council has approved a resolution on current foreign policy priorities, turning the Kremlin’s strategic direction into binding guidance for parliament, the government and state agencies.
The document places full responsibility for rising international tensions on NATO and what it calls the “collective West.”
It does not propose negotiations or de-escalation, but instead commits Russia to a systematic and prolonged confrontation.
Ukrainian intelligence says the resolution confirms Moscow’s view that conflict with the West is unavoidable and long term.
Alternative world order
According to FISU, the Kremlin plans to actively oppose the Euro-Atlantic security system by promoting a new, alternative global structure.
This includes pushing for an “equal and indivisible” security architecture across Eurasia, built around organizations such as the CIS, CSTO, SCO and ASEAN.
The document also highlights the Eurasian Charter of Diversity and Multipolarity, an initiative launched jointly with Belarus.
Russia’s foreign policy focus is set to shift further toward Asia, Africa and Latin America.
Turning to the Global South
The resolution calls for deeper economic, diplomatic and parliamentary cooperation with countries including China, Iran, India and nations in Southeast Asia.
Formats such as BRICS, the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation and the Eurasian Economic Union are seen as key tools. Parliamentary diplomacy is described as a substitute for normal relations with Western states under conditions of political isolation.
While the document formally leaves open the possibility of restoring full relations with the United States, FISU says this is conditional on recognition of Russia’s interests in the war against Ukraine, making it largely symbolic.
Sanctions and information war
Western sanctions are treated as a long-term reality. Russia plans to adapt through national-currency settlements, legal countermeasures against asset confiscation and special regimes for cross-border cooperation.
The document also calls for stronger information and ideological efforts, especially online, to promote Russian narratives about the war, undermine Ukraine, and push campaigns against what Moscow describes as the “falsification of history.”
FISU concludes that Russia is institutionalising a strategy of confrontation while trying to bypass isolation and weaken Western unity through selective partnerships.
Sources: Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine; Digi24
