Jens Asbjørn Bøgen
He warned not to rely on the five-year warning from NATO, as Russia may not wait.
He warned not to rely on the five-year warning from NATO, as Russia may not wait.
What is happening?
The Head of German Intelligence, Martin Jaeger, has warned that Russia is ready for a “hot confrontation” with Europe – and that they may not wait for 2029 to test the European borders.
In fact, on October 13th he told German lawmakers, that “we’re already under fire today”, Kyiv Independent reports.
Europe should not rely on NATO’s five-year warning
While NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte recently suggested Russia might be ready for full-scale war within five years, Germany’s intelligence chief urged immediate caution.
According to Jaeger, delaying action would be a dangerous miscalculation. “We can’t simply wait,” he said.
Russia’s hybrid warfare campaign is already in full swing
Moscow’s strategy isn’t limited to traditional military build-up.
Across Europe, Russia is carrying out a coordinated hybrid campaign — involving sabotage, cyberattacks, and drone incursions.
These low-level but persistent threats are testing Europe’s readiness and resilience.
‘Cold peace’ grips Europe amid rising tensions
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz (picture) said Europe is no longer at peace in any meaningful sense.
Martin Jaeger agreed, describing the current state as a “cold peace,” warning it could “flare into a hot confrontation at any moment.”
The frontline may now be psychological and digital — but it’s no less dangerous.
Russia is testing Europe’s borders, says Jaeger
Jaeger accused the Kremlin of “concealing its true intentions” while actively pushing at Europe’s perimeter.
These are not random provocations but calculated tests of NATO’s cohesion, strength, and willingness to respond under pressure.
Restraint will be seen as weakness, German official warns
In Jaeger’s view, hesitation plays directly into Moscow’s hands.
“We must confront our adversaries wherever necessary,” he told lawmakers.
The message: Failure to act decisively will embolden Russia to push further.
NATO-Russia tensions have deepened since 2022
The geopolitical climate has deteriorated significantly since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
NATO’s support for Kyiv has remained strong, but so has the Kremlin’s resolve to undermine the alliance through asymmetric tactics and intimidation.
Russian drones repeatedly violate NATO airspace
In recent weeks, Russian drones and aircraft have entered NATO airspace multiple times, escalating concerns about deliberate provocations.
Each incident raises the stakes — and the risk of an accidental clash with far-reaching consequences.
Drone activity causes airport disruptions in northern Europe
Suspicious drone sightings have triggered air traffic disruptions in Germany, Denmark, and Norway.
Though not officially attributed, many experts believe Russia is behind these incursions — part of a strategy to sow confusion and expose vulnerabilities in civilian infrastructure.
Polish forces intercept Russian drones over national territory
In a major development, Polish and allied troops shot down several Russian drones in early September.
It was the first time such a direct interception had occurred since the full-scale war began, signaling a shift in how NATO may deal with these provocations going forward.
NATO allies consider stronger rules of engagement
Calls are growing within the alliance to respond more forcefully.
Some members are advocating for permission to shoot down Russian aircraft that enter NATO airspace.
The debate reflects increasing unease about how far Moscow will go — and how prepared NATO truly is.
Germany urges vigilance and unity in confronting Russian aggression
Jaeger’s warnings are a rallying cry for Europe to take the threat seriously and act with urgency.
Strengthening defenses, improving coordination, and staying politically united will be crucial.
As he put it, the challenge is not in the future — it’s happening right now.
This article is made and published by Jens Asbjørn Bogen, which may have used AI in the preparation
