Biden Inches Ahead of Trump in Latest Polls, But Swing States Tell a Different Story

Written by Henrik Rothen

Apr.05 - 2024 5:47 PM CET

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Photo: ArChe1993 / Shutterstock.com
Photo: ArChe1993 / Shutterstock.com
Biden surges ahead in polls, but Trump holds swing state advantage.

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In a political landscape that's as dynamic as it is divisive, the latest polls have thrown a curveball into the 2024 presidential race, placing President Joe Biden slightly ahead of his likely rival, Donald Trump.

This development marks a significant shift in the narrative, suggesting an intensifying battle as both candidates gear up for what could be a historic rematch.

Biden's Surprising Lead in National Polls

The race for the White House is tightening, with recent surveys hinting at a shift in voter sentiment.

A series of polls, including those from Morning Consult and Marquette University Law School, now position Biden ahead of Trump in the national popular vote.

This marks a notable turnaround, especially considering Biden's trailing position in previous polls.

For instance, a Morning Consult poll of over 6,000 registered voters showed Biden with a 44% lead over Trump's 42%. Similarly, a Marquette University Law School poll of 674 likely voters gave Biden a 52% to 48% edge over Trump.

These numbers, complemented by a razor-thin lead in a Race to the WH aggregation, indicate a growing momentum for Biden, something his campaign hadn't seen since last November.

Swing States: A Thorn in Biden's Side

However, the optimism gleaned from national polls is dampened by the forecasts in key battleground states.

Despite Biden's improved standings, Trump appears to have the upper hand in crucial swing states like Michigan, North Carolina, Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Georgia.

This discrepancy underscores the pivotal role these states will play in determining the next occupant of the Oval Office.

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