Kenneth Glad
Public opinion can shift quickly once a new term begins. New polling suggests the political map has grown less favorable across the US.
President Donald Trump’s approval has declined in every U.S. state since he returned to office in January 2025, according to Civiqs polling.
The shift matters because state-level approval can reveal where political pressure is building before future national contests, especially in battlegrounds and once-reliable strongholds.
Conservative states lose ground
The Civiqs tracker measures registered voters’ approval and disapproval of Trump’s job performance. Net approval means approval minus disapproval.
According to Newsweek, its analysis used more than 107,000 responses collected from January 20, 2025, to May 26, 2026.
Some of the largest declines came in Republican-leaning states. Wyoming remains Trump’s strongest state, but his net approval there fell from +47 to +22.
Kentucky dropped from +23 to 0. Nebraska moved from +18 to -4, while Oklahoma declined from +31 to +10 and Utah slipped from +20 to +1.
The movement is especially significant in competitive states, where smaller shifts can carry greater political consequences.
Florida moved from +9 to -12, Ohio went from +8 to -11, and Nevada fell from even to -20.
Unilad furthermore highlighted worsening numbers in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Nevada, Florida, Ohio and Kentucky. These changes do not predict an election result by themselves, but they suggest weaker terrain for Trump than at the start of his second term.
Disapproval rises alongside approval losses
In several states, the decline is not simply a loss of enthusiasm. Disapproval has climbed at the same time.
Wyoming shows the pattern clearly. Newsweek reports that approval there fell from 72 percent to 58 percent, while disapproval rose from 25 percent to 36 percent.
Nationally, Civiqs figures show Trump at a 37 percent approval and 58 percent disapproval, with 5 percent unsure or indifferent.
The familiar partisan map has not disappeared. Trump still performs better in many Republican states and remains deeply unpopular in Democratic-leaning ones.
What has changed is the size of the advantage. States that once gave him comfortable positive ratings now show smaller leads, even splits or negative numbers.
The White House has rejected the emphasis on polling, pointing to Trump’s 2024 victory and saying the administration remains focused on jobs, inflation and housing affordability.
Sources: Civiqs, Newsweek, Unilad
