NATO is drafting a strategy combining conventional forces with artificial intelligence to defeat potential Russian attacks.
NATO is drafting a strategy designed to defeat a potential Russian attack on its eastern flank. According to the Kyiv Post, this plan combines conventional military power with drones and artificial intelligence. Supreme Allied Commander Europe Gen. Alexus Grynkewich oversaw the development of this document titled ‘Theory of Victory’.
Leaders expect to present the unclassified version of this document in Poland on October 12. The draft clarifies how the alliance would respond if Russian forces entered a member state’s territory. A spokesperson stressed that the text remains a planning document rather than an indication of an imminent attack.
The plan outlines methods for stopping incursions using land forces and technical capabilities. Allied forces would attempt to disrupt and destroy the enemy command structure after securing freedom of movement. The goal is to defeat attacking forces before they can establish a foothold on allied territory.
Integrating automated systems and combatting threats
The strategy integrates drones and minimally crewed systems alongside conventional units. Commanders would utilize automated targeting systems powered by artificial intelligence to halt enemy advances. The alliance previously explored establishing an automated defensive zone along its borders with Russia and Belarus.
This border system would use interconnected sensors and weapons to detect hostile movements. Implementing this technology would reduce the number of soldiers required to monitor exposed areas. NATO has already begun testing ground vehicles and communications systems under the Eastern Flank Deterrence Initiative.
The document also addresses hybrid threats that remain below the threshold of open warfare. Russian intelligence services have reportedly intensified covert operations, cyberattacks, and sabotage across allied countries. The alliance keeps the threshold for activating a collective response ambiguous to deter adversaries.
Applying lessons and increasing defense spending
This doctrine reflects lessons learned from the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Drones and updated software have transformed frontline operations into multi-dimensional battlespaces. To adapt to these changes, allied members agreed to invest more than 40 billion dollars in counter-drone capabilities.
This commitment will fund defensive technologies over the next five years. The alliance also plans to train five times as many drone operators by the end of 2027. Planners are currently developing a marketplace to streamline the acquisition of these counter-drone systems.
This proposal arrives as European member states increase their defense expenditures. Governments are debating how to divide funding between conventional weapons and newer technologies. The document aims to show governments what forces and technologies they must finance before a crisis begins.