Jens Asbjørn Bøgen
Leaked documents from the Kremlin reveals plans to create chaos.
Leaked documents from the Kremlin reveals plans to create chaos.
What is happening?
The Kremlin is reportedly preparing to orchestrate protests aimed at toppling Moldova’s pro-European president, Maia Sandu.
Institute for the Study of War (ISW) has issued a warning, stating that intelligence suggests these efforts are tied to the outcome of Moldova’s September 28 parliamentary elections, regardless of who wins.
Ruling party at risk of losing parliamentary pajority
Recent polls indicate the ruling Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS) could lose its majority in parliament.
With a large bloc of undecided voters and no clear frontrunner among opposition groups, the election could leave Moldova in political limbo.
Destabilize, then discredit
Moscow is allegedly using local actors, including Kremlin-linked politicians, to manufacture unrest.
Their goal is to discredit the democratic process and create the appearance of spontaneous public outrage against the government.
Russian agents reportedly training protestors
Russian intelligence operatives are believed to be training Moldovans—many of them young recruits—in how to provoke and escalate protests.
These trainings reportedly include tactics for avoiding arrest and using firearms.
False NATO claims
On September 23, Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) claimed NATO is planning to invade Moldova—a narrative experts say is aimed at stoking fear and anti-European sentiment among Moldovans.
Fictitious invasion from Odesa
The SVR went so far as to allege that French and British troops had already arrived in Ukraine to launch a “landing” operation from Odesa to intimidate the breakaway region of Transnistria.
However, Russia is misrepresenting regular NATO exercises in Romania and Bulgaria—like Steadfast Dart and Dacian Fall 2025—as cover for an invasion.
These drills are scheduled and transparent, yet they’re used as propaganda fodder.
Kremlin accuses EU of plotting election fraud
Russian intelligence further claims that EU officials plan to rig Moldova’s elections and that Sandu will call in European troops to suppress dissent.
These assertions have no factual basis and are seen as a smokescreen.
Leaked Kremlin docs reveal plans for chaos
Bloomberg reports that internal Russian documents, finalized in Spring 2025, lay out detailed plans for protests and violence in Moldova.
These include recruiting young men from sports clubs and criminal groups.
A protest plan for any outcome
According to these documents, if PAS loses, Russia’s proxies will call for Sandu to resign.
If PAS wins, they’ll push the narrative that the vote was fraudulent—creating a lose-lose scenario for the Moldovan government.
False flag operations not ruled out
The SVR has also hinted that the West may carry out armed provocations in Transnistria—raising concerns that Russia might stage its own attacks and blame Moldova or NATO to justify further interference.
Moscow-friends push Kremlin talking points
Former President Igor Dodon and former MP Ilan Shor, both aligned with Moscow, have repeatedly warned of election fraud and urged Moldovans to protest.
They even suggested that Sandu plans to cancel the results if PAS loses.
History of paid protests in Moldova
Shor has a track record of funding protests.
In August 2024, he reportedly offered participants up to $3,000 per month to camp indefinitely in Chisinau—an example of Moscow’s use of money to manufacture “grassroots” pressure.
Reflexive control strategy
Analysts say Russia is using a Soviet-era tactic called reflexive control—manipulating Moldova into making decisions that serve Moscow’s interests.
By inciting unrest, the Kremlin hopes Moldovans themselves will call for Sandu’s removal.
Part of Moscow’s long game
Russia’s intensified push to sway Moldova’s 2025 elections signals its determination to reassert control over Chisinau.
This isn’t a new goal—Moscow has been trying to reel Moldova back into its sphere of influence since the 1990s.
The timing of this renewed effort, while the Ukraine conflict rages on, shows just how high Moldova ranks on the Kremlin’s geopolitical agenda.
Interference won’t end—no matter the outcome
Regardless of how Moldovans vote in the upcoming September 28 election, Russia is unlikely to back off.
History shows that even when pro-Western parties win, the Kremlin doesn’t retreat.
Its ongoing interference underscores a long-term strategy: to undermine Moldova’s sovereignty and steer it away from the West—no matter how long it takes.
This article is made and published by Jens Asbjørn Bogen, which may have used AI in the preparation
