Camilla Jessen
Longstanding alliances in the Middle East are facing new pressure as the war in Ukraine reshapes global relationships.
Russia’s ties with Gulf nations are being tested as Ukraine strengthens its presence in the region
Following Russia’s 2022 invasion, the United Arab Emirates maintained close relations with Moscow, with leader Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed making multiple visits to President Vladimir Putin, according to The Times.
But recent developments are complicating that relationship.
Tensions rise
The UAE has faced attacks linked to Iran, a Russian ally, which has supplied drones used in the Ukraine war. Western officials have warned that such military cooperation could eventually pose risks to Gulf states themselves.
Ukraine has seized the opportunity to deepen ties.
President Volodymyr Zelensky recently toured the region, securing defence agreements with Saudi Arabia and Qatar, as well as closer cooperation with the UAE.
Strategic neutrality
Gulf countries have largely avoided taking sides in the conflict, balancing relations with both Russia and Ukraine.
“They can’t afford to choose a side,” said Sanam Vakil of Chatham House.
Analysts say Gulf states are seeking to maintain flexibility, pursuing defence partnerships while also preserving economic and energy ties.
Enduring ties with Moscow
Despite shifting dynamics, Russia retains strong links in the region.
Personal relationships between leaders, including ties with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and UAE leadership, have been built over decades.
Economic connections also remain significant, particularly in energy coordination and investment. Russian nationals hold billions of dollars in assets in the UAE.
Ukraine’s changing image
At the same time, Ukraine’s standing in the region appears to be improving.
“Ukraine was perceived as corrupt,” said political scientist Abdulkhaleq Abdulla. “With this war, the image has become stronger.”
Its resilience against Russia and increased diplomatic engagement have helped shift perceptions among Gulf leaders.
Experts say Gulf nations are navigating a complex landscape, balancing relations with major powers while addressing regional threats.
With an uncertain US foreign policy, ongoing tensions with Iran, and evolving global alliances, the region is likely to continue its multi-aligned approach.
Sources: The Times, Chatham House, Digi24.
