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Trump set to lose important group of voters, shows new poll

Donald Trump
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A large group of MAGA-supporters have had enough with the president, shows latest numbers.

Political loyalty has long been one of Donald Trump’s greatest strengths outside America’s largest cities. Across rural communities, support for the president helped fuel three White House campaigns and cemented his influence within the Republican Party.

Fresh polling from Reuters/Ipsos now suggests that foundation may not be as solid as it once appeared.

New data indicates that approval of Trump’s performance among rural Americans has fallen sharply since the early months of his second term, with concerns over living costs, fuel prices and economic uncertainty driving much of the dissatisfaction.

Support Slips in Key Voting Bloc

According to a Reuters/Ipsos survey conducted in early June, Trump’s approval rating among rural Americans has dropped to 50%, down from 60% shortly after he returned to office in February 2025.

Disapproval has climbed in parallel, rising from 34% to 48%.

Such numbers are significant because rural voters have consistently been among Trump’s most reliable supporters. Exit poll analysis from the 2024 election showed Trump winning rural America by 40 percentage points, an even stronger margin than in either 2020 or 2016.

Growing frustration within that group could create challenges for Republicans ahead of next year’s midterm elections, where the party will be defending narrow congressional majorities.

Rising Costs Taking a Toll

Much of the dissatisfaction appears tied to household finances.

Polling found that only 31% of rural respondents approve of Trump’s handling of cost-of-living issues and the broader economy, while 61% disapprove.

Those figures represent a substantial shift from the beginning of Trump’s term, when views on economic management were far more evenly divided.

Brian Rauch, a Montana resident and Air Force veteran who has voted for Trump in each of the last three presidential elections, said higher everyday expenses have altered his view of the administration.

“We’re in bigger water fights with AI, we’re all paying more for groceries and we’re all paying more for gas,” Rauch said.

“My day to day is negatively impacted and I haven’t seen these other benefits.”

Rauch also questioned the rationale behind the ongoing U.S.-Israeli military campaign involving Iran and expressed concerns about growing infrastructure demands linked to artificial intelligence development in his state.

Fuel Prices Hit Rural Communities Harder

Economic pressures can be especially noticeable in rural America because residents typically travel much longer distances than those living in urban areas.

Federal transportation data shows rural Americans drive roughly 30 miles per day on average, compared with 17 miles for urban residents.

Higher fuel costs therefore have a more immediate impact on household budgets.

Concerns over gasoline prices have intensified amid fears that geopolitical tensions involving Iran could place additional pressure on energy markets.

Farmers Face Additional Challenges

Economic concerns extend beyond family budgets.

Farmers have faced a difficult year marked by rising fertilizer costs, lower crop prices and reduced export opportunities linked to trade disputes.

Diesel prices have also surged in several regions, creating fresh challenges for agricultural producers and commercial fishermen alike.

For operations already working on narrow margins, transportation costs can quickly become a major financial burden.

Midterm Worries Emerging

Bryan Shaver, an insurance agent from Mississippi who supported Trump in the 2024 election, said persistent inflation has left him worried about the Republican Party’s prospects.

“I have a feeling we’re going to be in big trouble in November,” he said.

While Trump’s support in rural America remains stronger than in many other parts of the country, recent polling suggests that economic concerns are beginning to outweigh political loyalty for a growing number of voters.

For a president whose electoral success has relied heavily on rural turnout, that trend is likely to attract close attention in Washington over the months ahead.

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