Kathrine Frich
Years of Western sanctions are beginning to take a visible toll on Russia’s economy, squeezing key industries and limiting access to critical technology.
As financial pressure builds, cracks are starting to show not just in markets, but within the country’s pro-war circles
Rising anxiety
According to a recent analysis by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) cited by O2, pro-war Russian ultranationalists are increasingly voicing fears about the country’s trajectory in Ukraine.
The report highlights a noticeable shift in tone, with some now openly discussing the possibility of defeat.
These concerns follow a series of successful Ukrainian strikes on strategic targets, which analysts say have exposed weaknesses in Russia’s defenses.
Economic strain is also adding to unease among commentators who previously supported the war unconditionally.
Reports cited by ISW indicate that Ukraine’s use of large-scale drone attacks is stretching Russia’s ability to respond. Some military bloggers claim the country cannot produce interceptor missiles quickly enough to keep pace.
Pressure builds
The situation has been further aggravated by strikes on key energy infrastructure. According to ISW, attacks targeting Baltic Sea النفط export routes have disrupted operations, including at the crucial port of Primorsk.
The disruption to oil logistics is seen as a significant blow, amplifying concerns about Russia’s ability to sustain its war economy.
Ukrainian operations, backed by Western support, are increasingly described by Russian commentators as coordinated and difficult to counter.
One pro-Kremlin voice, cited by tsn.ua, acknowledged that Western economic strength gives Ukraine a decisive advantage in maintaining pressure on Russian forces.
Fractures appear
The ISW report suggests that divisions are now emerging within the so-called “Z-patriot” movement.
Once largely unified in support of the war, some figures are beginning to question the Kremlin’s strategy and readiness for further escalation.
Discussions around a potential “shameful peace” are becoming more frequent, referring to a negotiated end to the war on terms unfavorable to Moscow. This marks a sharp contrast to earlier calls for total victory.
Signs of unrest
Tensions are not limited to online commentary. According to Ukrainian outlet tsn.ua, unrest has been reported in parts of Russia following recent attacks on infrastructure.
Clashes broke out at the port of Ust-Luga after workers were denied access to their shifts, prompting a response from police and OMON units.
Meanwhile, resistance is reportedly growing among Russian troops in occupied areas over the use of the “MAX” communication system, which some view as a tool of surveillance.
Together, these developments point to growing strain both on the front lines and within Russia itself.
Sources: ISW, tsn.ua, Ukrainian Ministry of Defense, O2.
